In this episode, Tushar Jain from Multicoin argues that Hyperliquid is deeply mispriced because markets view it only as a fast-growing perp DEX, while it's evolving into the backend for a global Everything Exchange. Key drivers include portfolio margining, permissionless market creation via HIP3, and a tokenomics model where revenue buys and burns $HYPE. The discussion covers US regulatory pathways, metrics for real user demand (liquidations data), and a base case valuation of $319+ per token.
Summarized by Podsumo
Portfolio margining is the most exciting feature—allows cross-margining across perps, options, and event contracts from one collateral account, creating powerful network effects.
HIP3 permissionless markets enable anyone to deploy new markets by posting a 500k $HYPE bond, already driving ~1/3 of Hyperliquid's volume.
Liquidations data is the truest metric of real demand—Hyperliquid has a much higher ratio of liquidations to volume vs. competitors like Aevo or Lighter.
Base case valuation: $HYPE at $319+ assuming 35% annual growth in crypto derivatives, DEX share rising to 32%, and Hyperliquid holding 30% market share.
US regulatory pathway is plausible but gradual—requires perps legalized, Clarity Act safe harbors for DeFi, and regulated front ends routing to Hyperliquid.
"Portfolio margining is the most exciting because it empowers all other categories of products and provides a very powerful compounding return to scale."
— Tushar Jain
"You can't argue with cash flow. Users are willing to pay money to use the product. Price discovery is happening on Hyperliquid."
— Tushar Jain
"If that was the case, this whole team would be gone by now. Like they've already there. They've been there. Right?"
— Tushar Jain (referring to the hyperliquid team's motivation beyond money)