Walter Russell Mead, a historian and foreign policy expert, explains how America has historically maintained global dominance through a maritime commercial liberal order—a strategy inherited from the UK and the Dutch. He argues that while the post-WWII institutional world order is collapsing, American power itself remains strong, fueled by innovation and the information revolution. Mead offers a contrarian view: despite current disruption, the U.S. is well-positioned for the future, provided it can manage the internal upheavals caused by technology and forge a new social contract.
Summarized by Podsumo
America's dominance stems from a four-step maritime strategy: open society, global trade, inviting others into the system, and cutting off adversaries. This pattern has been repeated for 300 years.
The information revolution is creating a new 'wild horse' of technology. The U.S. currently dominates it, but must create a new social contract (like the Homestead Act) to avoid internal collapse.
The U.S. has lost the ability to deter adversaries, leading to expensive wars rather than credible red lines. Deterrence requires presidents who can clearly communicate a vision to the public.
A new 'Tech Hamiltonian' faction has emerged, where tech companies are now central to national security and great power competition, reshaping foreign policy.
The Ukraine war shows a revolution in military affairs: drones make tanks and traditional navies obsolete. The U.S. is most vulnerable to this change due to its massive existing hardware.
"Something happens like Pearl Harbor or 9/11, and suddenly the Jacksonians are activated."
— Walter Russell Mead
"The hobbits keep winning."
— Walter Russell Mead (on the maritime commercial powers)
"I float on a sea of kindness."
— Walter Russell Mead